It’s looking better. The GFS has bitten on a nice slug of snow—four to eight inches—and the rest of the models show less, but at least some, coming through. The rest of the models show similar amounts, and good golly three inches sounds like it would make a nice difference between a thin, icy Birkie and a “good” Birkie. (Six inches would be nicer, of course.)

As for race-time temperatures, it looks cool—below 20 but above 0—and the models are bouncing back and forth between clear conditions and light snow. However, I am going to go out on a limb and say that it is going to be warmer than last year. Of course, it was -11 last year, so that’s not a high bar.