Quick post today because I just got back from a weekend of driving, skiing, and generally freezing to death (at least this afternoon, boom -20 wind chill).

According to the latest GFS model run, there will no snow in the next week with highs topping out in the mid 30s and dry air, so the snow should stay pretty okay. The second week—where of course it is purely guessing—would feature two shots of snow, one warmer storm early in the week with a few inches of wetter snow and a second cooler storm right before race day with a few inches of powder. This would be nice. Race day temps just above 0 with strong northerly winds. Bring out the wind briefs.

The DGEX is in a bit of agreement towards the early part of the long range forecast. The GGEM suppresses the storm track southwards with cool temperatures. The ECMWF is, who knows. The CPC automated forecast (on the weekend, there’s no discussion) is for normal temperatures and above-normal precip for Birkie week. Which hopefully would translate to the four letter S word, not the four letter R word.

In other words, things look pretty okay. The 70-10-10-10 breakdown from the other day holds. By the way, if this all makes very little sense to you, check out the weather speculation resources.