Who won the classic race?

With the last of the snow melting in New England a couple weeks ago, I went up to Maine for a four lap, ice-to-slush 50k at Sugarloaf. It was my last day of skiing. At the end of the race, a friend (who skied her way to second; we’ll get her out to the Birkie one of these years) pointed out a skier who was wearing a Birkie age-class winner t-shirt (and it wasn’t bad-looking, either). I wondered how well he’d done in the race, so I took out my phone (ah, technology; many of the pictures on this site were taken with the same iPhone) and looked up the results. Not only was he an age class winner, but, by time, he’d beaten the winner of the classic race.

When it came out that Joe Dubay was DQed for winning the classic race (wearing someone else’s bib) the skiing world was up in arms. But there’s more afoot in the Birkie classic race. The man with the fastest time wasn’t David Chamberlain. Or even super-World Champion Vegard Ulvang. Nope, skiing two minutes faster than both of them were two skiers from the second wave. Thanks to the vagaries of the wave system, a skier can, conceivably, ski out of a later wave and ski faster than the front skiers, posting a faster time. Of course, since the race is not a true interval start, the winner’s circle is limited to the first skiers across the line. Even if someone skied several minutes faster.

(It is relatively unlikely, although not inconceivable, that this would happen in the skate race; one would assume anyone with a decent chance of winning would be able to petition their way in to the Elite Wave. In the less-lucrative classic race, this is less of an issue.)

Chamberlain and Ulvang skied the Birkie in 2:51:15, but that’s their time from the gun, so their time from the timing wire is likely about 45 seconds faster—2:50:30, just faster than the fourth and fifth place finishers. That’s fast, but a Latvian, Janis Melbardis, skied the race a good minute faster than that, as did a Granite Stater (but judging from his name and accent he’s got some Scandinavian speed) Odd-Aage Bersvendsen. They finished in a wire time in the 2:40s. Our Birkie Classic wave chart shows this quite well.

Since Odd-Aage was at the race, and I asked him how it felt to podium in a race but actually come in fifth (or is it the other way around?) and he was perfectly content—more so than I’m sure I would have been. He had enjoyed the race, and was happy with his age-class award. Still, he did say he asked the Birkie to seed him higher and his request was denied. I asked him if he’d be back the next year to defend his title, and he wasn’t sure. I hope he makes the trip back out, and goes for the win.

The data are coming! The data are coming!

Actually, a lot of it is here. If you check out the “stats” menu on the menu bar above, you’ll find that many of the pages in the 2012 page have been populated. So, have at it, take a look around, visit our sponsor Gear West, which not only is awesome but also shipped a replacement boot cuff up to Hayward for the race for me, and who knows, that could have made a couple seconds worth of difference versus the duct-taped one I had.

What’s not posted yet are the state-by-state competitions (because I have to figure out how best to get a table to display within WordPress) and the search for “special data”—like the time to the timing wire or how many miles each participant traveled—which we had last year for each skier. Because I have to figure out how to make a php database run within WordPress.

That being said, all the charts are in the new site format, which is far superior, I think, to last year’s version. We have nearly all of last year’s data updated (and only didn’t update things which didn’t really change) and a bunch of new stuff, like correlations (all together: “correlation does not imply causation!”) between timing wire place and finishing place by wave. Yes, very nerdy.

Rest assured, we’re working on the rest of the data. It’s 75 in New England so ski season is over (which didn’t keep me from skiing an ice-to-slush 50k this weekend, however) but the hiking trails are still slushy or muddy (not for long, at this rate) so I should have some time to have at it.

Thanks for the patience, and comment on a previous post if there’s anything you really wan to see (no guarantees, of course).

Rosie Ruiz strikes the Birkie

If you thought Joe Dubay was a big deal, this is bigger. (Okay, not really.)

I am in a tricky position. If anyone gains a place in to the top 200, I fall to 201st and I am relegated from the Elite Wave. So, I check the results more than anyone, I’d bet. I was copyediting my race report today and decided, well, what the heck, let’s check those results. And here’s what I found:

That’s right. The unthinkable had happened. Now, instead of making the Elite Wave by 1.5 seconds, I had missed it by half that much. I promised a full investigation on Twitter and Facebook—I wanted to find out who had been inserted in to the results three weeks late. I have the finishing data which shows me at 200th, and compared that to what’s online. I looked at 100th in that data, and that skier had moved to 101st. So I looked at 50th. 51st. 25th? 26th. 12th? Twelfth place was still in twelfth place. So I started reading down. And something stuck out.

The 14th place skier only shows up in the online results. But that’s not what sticks out. Apparently, this skier made it in to 14th place with a four digit bib number. Now, it would be conceivable that a First Wave skier could go out and only have to pass a handful of Elite Wavers and have a hell of a race to 14th. Possible. I doubt it’s ever happened. But from the Fifth Wave? To finish in that kind of time, they’d have to pass, give or take, 2500 other skiers. That’s one every 20 meters. Or one every three seconds. A fifth wave skier would have to somehow get through congested feeds and up bunched hills—and still ski only five minutes slower than the best skiers in the race.

Maybe Petter Northug could do that. Maybe. But a 50-year-old from Latvia? Doesn’t pass the sniff test. (Here’s a picture of him finishing next to a Second Waver who finished in about 3:10, which would validate his 2:39 finish time if he indeed started with the fifth wave but—see below—he seems to have mistakenly started in Wave 2. This would also explain why he was in first place at Timber Trail and OO) Want more? 5342 has no wire start time, so someone put the wrong time in for his start, and he jumped up in the results. I guess. I plan to let the Birkie know about this, so if you finished between 14th and 350th and wondered why your position changed, it should change back.

Either that, or Rosie Ruiz jumped off the trail at the Power Lines and got back on the lake for an almost-victorious ski in to Hayward.

(Okay, it’s a clerical error most likely, no one cheated or wore the wrong bib. And we can not complain about a minor error in a race of 10,000 people where all the timing equipment is buried in snow. But it’s fun to throw around hyperbole, right, 75 commenters about Joe Dubay at FasterSkier?)

Update: I have it from another Wave 2 skier that:

As I waited for the start, a guy with a purple bib [someone who’d skied more than 20 Birkies] tapped me on the shoulder and said I should tell the guy beside me (a 5th waver) that he was in the wrong place.  I told purple bib guy that he would be a little more authoritative than me, so he approached him.  After realizing he spoke no English and had traveled a great distance to participate, [he stayed] and start[ed] with wave two.  There really wasn’t an alternative as the start was less than 30 seconds away.

which makes perfect sense. And that means the Birkie should assign him a start of 8:45 (well, probably 8:46 to account for the minute to the line) which would put him finishing in 3:10. Which is exactly an hour slower than the issue above. In other words, someone must have typed “9:45” instead of “8:45” for his start time, and that got the whole snowball rolling. Okay, for me it’s a snowball. For everyone else, no one cares.

8070 lines

That’s how many lines of data we have from all the finishers. And more than a week ahead of last year, too! We’re working hard, rest assured, to bring you all sorts of charts, graphs and other stats to the site. Soon!

Colin makes a video

Colin Reuter, he of internet cycling fame, always wears a GoPro. Because he is awesome. He had a less-than-stellar race, and wrote about it (it’s SFW, but not safe for the dinner table) and there’s a video at the top which is basically a video of all the downhills to OO or so. Good fun to watch.

We’re waiting on data before we can start full-on stats runs. Once we get it, rest assured we’ll drunkenly stay up until 2 or 3 several nights to bring it to you.

Skin of my teeth

As I came up Main Street, I was spent. I could only push a little harder than a couple of the other guys around, and I’d lost some ground to some others. When I came across the line, I didn’t look that good. There’s a video you can watch here. But I did just good enough. After I finish, watch the guy in red to the left. I’ll be in the elite wave next year. He finished 202nd.

God I have to start training. Now.

Low snow? Not in March

So, the last time the Birkie had snow issues (and not just potential snow issues like this year) was in 2007. The week after the Birkie, Minneapolis and Eau Clare each recorded 21 inches of snow with Duluth seeing 36 inches, with two feet of snowpack which lasted most of the month.

Well, it may happen again. A light-to-moderate snowstorm is hitting the Northwoods today, mostly from Duluth north. Midweek, a monster of a storm will hit Minnesota, with a good chance of 1 to 2 feet of snow from the Twin Cities to Hayward. Snows may then spread east, and the western mountains may get hit as well. Winter is coming, just a couple of months too late.

But the Birkie was perfect. Reports coming soon.

Fever

I’ve got the fever. I flew out last night with a few other Birkie skiers and the fever was palpable on the plane. Waxing my skis the night before? Fever. Light snow in the Cities? Fever. Seeing the forecast for Hayward coming in a little cooler than predicted (and thus justifying my “hey let’s not bring a warmer wax” decision)? Fever.

Oh, and I’m only responsible for about half the #Birkiefever tweets on Twitter.

The only cure? More cowbell—and some skiing.

Oh, also, how lucky are we? If you look at the snow depth histories for Minnesota, there was more snow on the ground in 2007 (shortened), 2002 (ended shy of the lake) and 2000 (canceled). And yet, it sounds like conditions should be pretty close to perfect. I won’t call it a miracle Birkie. But it’s damn close.

Find your neighbors!

I always make sure, when I register for the Birkie, to check my skier confirmation, because the Birkie has, from time to time, screwed up and put people in the wrong waves. (And who can blame, them, they only have a few thousand people to keep track of.) But skier confirmation is always validated with a birth date, so you can’t just look up any old skier to see their wave. Right?

Well, not quite. If you stroll over to the media section, the Birkie is happy to help any of you aspiring journalists out there find people to talk to about the Birkie. (Of course, if you wrote about the race in the Washington Post and want to find out who made the jump from the second wave to elite, it’s probably best to hit up our statistics section—and it helps that I know the top two guys in that category.) But it’s also nice, because you can search for Birkie skiers by name, ZIP code, really anything. For instance, if I search “Ari” I find two Aris, two Arins and an Aris in the race. How many, say, Oklahomans are in the race? (One, Jakob, just you.) Let’s say you live away from Birkieland and want to find local skiers. Easy: enter the first three digits of your ZIP code and it will find people from all those ZIPs. Maybe I’ll have a Birkie party some time out east.